The NH Trend Spotter

Terry who had originally blogged this system has been monitoring it over the past few weeks, since they sent out an updated version. He has asked me to post this

I recently trialed the NH Super Trends system for a month and had very good results. Consequently, when I heard that the author had modified the system and seemingly improved its performance, it seemed worthwhile to give it another month’s trial to see the difference. I carried out the testing in exactly the same way for four weeks in March. Unfortunately, things did not go well this time. The new filter didn’t cut the selections down very much but it did disqualify a few which would have been bets previously. Unfortunately, due to the overall performance, I didn’t see the benefits of the new method which the author had observed in his own testing. The result of the four weeks was that there was an overall loss of 7 points which could be set off against the previous month’s return of almost 20pts profit, so although disappointing in the short term, this would have been absorbed by a long term user. The most upsetting aspect of the month, however, was the losing run of 17 bets, followed by another of 8, then one of 5, interspersed with three winners. This was where the loss of 7 pts was incurred, it wasn’t fully recovered by the end of the trial. I don’t think this system was alone in falling down in March; several other systems I was either using or observing, failed equally to hold on to previous performance, so I conclude that March was just one of those bad months. Considering that the system is still in profit over the two month period, this poor result might be considered as just a blip in its performance. However, the potential for long losing runs cannot be ignored and would have to be accepted and catered for in bank size in order to withstand them. I would personally find it hard to accept them. Sam has said that he will run a back-test on this and will be reporting in due course. For the moment I would rate it as a ‘possible’ with some misgivings about the LLR

Update by Sam:- I have back tested this system now to 2025 and from what i have checked this system is down at least 26K to £100 level stakes during this period, with a strike rate of 13.8% There has also been occassions of over 30 losers which certainly wouldnt be acceptable to most bettors and certainly not me, i will move this to the failed category now and it goes to show the importance of testing for extended periods

The NH Super Trend Spotter can be bought by clicking here