Lay 51 Operation
Day 30, and a successful one at that.
2 lays, with both horses losing their races.
Final wrap-up.
The Lay 51 test began back on June 13. Over the 30 days, we paper-bet on 22 races, with 18 successful lay bets.
That’s a strike rate of close to 82%, and an average BF starting price around 3.20.
The £2000, paper bank increased to £2854, for an ROI of 42.7%.
It’s a system with only six simple rules to follow, and, while it’s advertised that all can be done right off the Betfair site, I found it much easier to head on over to Racing Post, select a meet and click on, ‘VIEW ALL RACES AT THIS MEETING ON ONE PAGE’.
Vis-a-vis, sifting through the Betfair site, this method cut the selection time dramatically.
Every day multiple horses were listed with two wins in a row, that often as not, had to be excluded due to the six simple rules.
Form listings showed over and over, horses winning two in a row, only to lose the next time out. And many times at that, not even landing inside the top ten.
Another point worthy of note, is how often the SP’s of horses winning two in a row would, next time out, trend from outsiders, to no hopers. I suspect a closer look at form would give some indication as to why – up in class, jockey change, that sort of stuff.
Based on 22 bets over a 30-day trial period, Lay51 does not appear to be an everyday betting strategy, but one to be used in addition to other favoured systems.
As we know, all systems have their high and low points. So, how Lay51 does in the long run, is to be found out.
Based on observation, I’d add that the rules are there for good reason.
When following this system, to get more bets on, it’s very easy to be tempted by the number of horses that fit most of the rules, but not quite all of the rules.
Usually, the one that doesn’t fit most often is the price. In one race, for example, where the SP of the potential pick had drifted out to around 10.00, that horse ended up winning the race!
Had the price rule been broken, and that bet placed, it would have wiped out a months work. Ouch!!
Summing up, Lay 51 is built on the statistical fact that not even the best of horses win in bunches.
This the case, it’s a stat we’d all be very well aware of.
Based on what I’ve seen though, I’d say Lay51 Operation is one to follow.
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